Iran passed another night without US airstrikes on Sunday, as Washington paused a war nearing its fifth month and reports emerged that concerns over dwindling munitions were restraining plans for further escalation. The lull has revived hopes of a return to negotiations after nearly two weeks of consecutive nightly US bombardments, although American media reported the pause could also reflect pressure on stockpiles of Patriot interceptors and other defensive weapons.
Fighting over the strategic Strait of Hormuz derailed diplomatic efforts between Washington and Tehran, but the conflict then expanded beyond the vital energy corridor to include attacks on US bases, regional shipping and Gulf allies. However, US operations against Iran were on a hold, CNN reported, quoting an unidentified Pentagon source, even as President Donald Trump threatened a much higher level of strikes on Friday.
Plans to escalate the campaign have been shelved in part because of shrinking supplies, The New York Times reported, citing two people briefed on the matter. The shrinking stockpile of Patriot anti-missile interceptors and other defensive armaments adds to the risks of escalation for the president. Trump also faces the risk of a wider Middle East war, the estrangement of vulnerable Gulf allies and further shocks to the global economy. Vice President JD Vance and top US general Dan Caine both raised concerns about escalation at a White House meeting on Friday, CNN reported. Caine told Trump the military could carry out the options available to him successfully but warned of the possible implications. The stockpile concern was one of many raised to Trump during the meeting. The potential for massive civilian casualties inside Iran if the US resumed major combat operations was also raised.
Trump said on Friday he had not decided whether to return to an all-out operation. We are talking to them right now. I think they are getting more and more serious, he told journalists. Trump said Iran faced a choice between a deal and strikes at a much higher level. The war that Trump once predicted would last four or five weeks is now nearing its fifth month, and is weighing on the Republican's approval ratings ahead of crucial US midterm elections in November. The Pentagon had presented Trump with a plan for a 14th night of strikes but he declined to authorise it in favour of a push for talks, Axios reported.
Fighting has meanwhile spread to a new front. Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels said they struck Saudi Aramco sites in Jizan and Yanbu on Saturday, a day after Riyadh bombed Houthi targets. A surface-to-air battery operated by Greek personnel in Saudi Arabia downed two ballistic missiles and a drone over Yanbu, the Greek air force media office said. Iran's Revolutionary Guards said they had stopped four ships attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours. Tehran's effective blockade of the waterway remains the central flashpoint with Washington. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Iran could not be blamed for the escalation and offered to broker talks between the Houthis and Riyadh, saying there is no military solution.
Separately, Iran accused Ukraine of attacking one of its merchant vessels in the Caspian Sea, killing a sailor and wounding another, and warned it would not leave the incident unanswered. The accusation came after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Kyiv had carried out long-range strikes in the Caspian Sea against vessels involved in transporting military cargo involving Iran. Meanwhile, a senior Iranian official told Reuters that Iran will halt its own attacks as long as the United States maintains its latest pause on air strikes. The official added that there is more scepticism than optimism about the halt in attacks, with the prevailing view that the pause is tactical rather than genuine.
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